.

And the Rain Keeps Coming ...

It appears we are on the rain train.

Have you had enough rain this year? If not, you're in luck, if so... your only option is to move! :-)

The extended forecast shows several very vigorous systems traversing our area over the next two weeks, and the models are showing those systems dropping rain in buckets over us, dumping almost a foot of rainfall. While these amounts will no doubt change, all the models show a very wet period coning up, and even the latest maps from the HPC are showing almost 4" of rainfall over the next 5 days. We still need the rain, but a foot of rain will cause major flooding issues if it comes to fruition. 

The rainfall that we had last week has put a major dent in the drought situation in Georgia. Statewide, the most serious level of drought, D4 or Exceptional, went from 2.46 percent coverage to 0.00 percent while the next level, D3 (Extreme) went from 11.72 percent to 7.97 percent. The latest drought maps can be found here: http://www.daculaweather.com/4_drought_state.php

Lake Lanier is currently sitting at approximately 1,065 feet and we would ideally like to see it around 1,071 feet before summer, and hopefully over the next several weeks we can get very close to that summer pool level. You can view information about Lanier and other Georgia lakes here.

For those of you that plant gardens, the Crop Moisture Index shows North Georgia to be very wet right now, and most likely only going to get worse (or better, depending on how you look at it!). This link contains that map, 2nd to the bottom.

If we can't get snow, we will most certainly get rain, and lots of it, so keep your umbrella and your boat ready!

 

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This post is contributed by a community member. The views expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Patch Media Corporation. Everyone is welcome to submit a post to Patch. If you'd like to post a blog, go here to get started.

North Georgia Weather February 22, 2013 at 04:24 PM
EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1058 AM EST FRI FEB 22 2013 VALID 12Z MON FEB 25 2013 - 12Z FRI MAR 01 2013 ...'BLOCKY' PATTERN DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN... ...ACTIVE MIDWEST WINTER STORM TRACK EXPECTED...DAYS 3-5... TRENDS CONTINUED WITH THE BLOCKY (NEGATIVE) NAO PATTERN EMERGING IN THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC. THE OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE HAS DEFINITELY COME AROUND TO THE IDEA THAT THE SOUTHWEST-TO-NORTHEAST CYCLONE PROGRESSION ACROSS THE CONUS WILL COME TO A HALT AROUND DAY 5. THE PATTERN ALONG THE WEST COAST...AND SPLITTING SYSTEMS CONTINUES THROUGH DAY 7.
North Georgia Weather February 22, 2013 at 05:59 PM
From Robert Gamble at WXSouth.com: "If you're a snow lover in the East, this post is for you. I've mentioned how the AO and NAO haven't timed or synch'd up yet. Now it's game time I think, they both are synching up. And it's not in the "10 day"...it begins mid week with the ...next big upper low closing off in the Lakes. This will be the deep trough in the heart land and Eastern US that opens up the door to Canada and ushers in sustained cold, unlike no pattern seen this Winter. Now it's late Winter, so this won't be severe cold, but plenty cold aloft. And the GFS just in keeps such a strong Greenland block and holds this trough in place with several systems rotating though the Deep Eastern Trough, with a hint at retrograding flow ( ! ) This is about how you want to see the GFS in this time range....IE, cold and dry. There is probably going to be a couple of strong systems that round the bend of the trough and could tap the Gulf, turning into a Major Winter Storm in the Southeast, MidAtlantic or Northeast (or all 3)."
North Georgia Weather February 22, 2013 at 09:15 PM
Latest from Atlanta NWS: AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 317 PM EST FRI FEB 22 2013 .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... IN A LULL ACROSS THE CWA IN REGARDS TO PRECIP, BUT THIS WONT LAST LONG. FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS CURRENTLY ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA WITH THE PRECIP FOCUSED ACROSS THIS AREA. SHOULD SEE THE NEXT WAVE OF ACTIVITY MOVING INTO THE CWA THIS EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST POPS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. BOUNDARY WILL SINK SOUTHWARD AGAIN ON SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT INTO CENTRAL GEORGIA. BULK OF THE PRECIP WILL END ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA DURING THE MORNING, WITH THE RAIN COMING TO AN END ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA BY SATURDAY NIGHT. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST PART OF THE CWA WHERE SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. WEDGE IS FIRMLY IN PLACE THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER AS A SFC LOW RIDES ALONG THE BOUNDARY ON SATURDAY, THIS WILL HELP TO BREAK DOWN THE WEDGE. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE NAM FOR THIS AFTERNOON, MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE TIMING OF THIS NEXT WAVE TONIGHT. THEY ARE ALSO SIMILAR WITH CLEARING OUT THE PRECIP SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.
North Georgia Weather February 22, 2013 at 09:41 PM
Alma airport in Bacon County, just south of Macon, was 68º F just a little while ago, while we're hovering about 1º above 38. Almost a 30 degree temperature difference. Illustrates the strength of the CAD we have today. Even Nashville is in the lower 60's right now.
North Georgia Weather February 23, 2013 at 11:59 AM
Mr Sutherland's evening thoughts (he has a lot of these!) "Having said that, given the analog cases that have been coming up, I continue to have reasonable confidence that March 2013 could be the snowiest since March 2009 in some parts of the East. Whether or not a KU storm would occur is a different matter, but at least one of the analog cases had such a storm. The idea of a colder than normal start to March remains on track. With blocking forecast to grow stronger through the medium-term, one cannot rule out the prospect of an Arctic air mass moving down out of Canada at some point during the first 7-10 days in March."

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